EA - EA is probably undergoing "Evaporative Cooling" right now by freedomandutility

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Link to original articleWelcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: EA is probably undergoing "Evaporative Cooling" right now, published by freedomandutility on December 12, 2022 on The Effective Altruism Forum.Eliezer Yudkowsky has an excellent post on "Evaporative Cooling of Group Beliefs".Essentially, when a group goes through a crisis, those who hold the group's beliefs least strongly leave, and those who hold the group's beliefs most strongly stay.This might leave the remaining group less able to identify weaknesses within group beliefs or course-correct, or "steer".The FTX collapse, bad press and bad optics of the Whytham Abbey purchase probably mean that this is happening in EA right now.I'm not really sure what to do about this, but one suggestion might be for community building to move away from the model of trying to produce highly-engaged EAs, and switch to trying to produce moderately-engaged EAs, who might be better placed to offer helpful criticisms and help steer the movement towards doing the most good.Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please visit nonlinear.org.

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