“Beyond Extinction: Revisiting the Question and Broadening Our View” by arvomm, Laura Duffy, David_Moss, Hayley Clatterbuck, Derek Shiller, Bob Fischer

In the spirit of Debate Week (March 17–24), we’re revisiting the badness of extinction question and introducing a broader framework for thinking about our impact on the possibly far future. Introduction: Both Sides There might come a day when sentient beings are no more. Our collective actions will likely hasten or delay that day. It is also reasonable to expect that for however long the future carries on, our choices will shape the quality of the future that emerges. What we do with our resources should be informed by both sides: length and quality. We want to develop such a framework. Revisiting 'How Bad Would Extinction Be?' In our earlier work 'How Bad Would Human Extinction Be?, we tried to quantify the loss from human extinction in expected value terms. In that analysis, we combined two key ingredients to estimate the expected value of reducing extinction risk: Risk [...] ---Outline:(00:21) Introduction: Both Sides(00:50) Revisiting How Bad Would Extinction Be?(03:14) Why Bother? The Limits of a Risk-Only Focus(06:18) Is What We Have Enough?(07:47) A Broader Model for Shaping the Future(09:36) Key Factors in Our Framework(14:50) Why This Framework MattersThe original text contained 2 footnotes which were omitted from this narration. The original text contained 2 images which were described by AI. --- First published: March 17th, 2025 Source: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/grZuykeukpuq7SWGu/beyond-extinction-revisiting-the-question-and-broadening-our --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.